Guides
Macro guides for traders
Plain-English explainers on how the Fed, inflation data, bond yields and risk appetite move markets. Written by Tian Kriek, sourced to official publications, and updated when the facts change.
How Does the Fed Affect the Forex Market?
The Fed, the yield gap and the dollar: the transmission chain, an FOMC-day routine and the limits of the link.
CPI and the Stock Market
What the CPI measures, why it moves stocks through interest rates and a release-day checklist.
Risk-On vs Risk-Off: How to Tell Which Regime the Market Is In
Stocks, volatility, safe-haven currencies and bonds: the signals that show the market’s mood, and a simple way to measure it.
Yield Curve Inversion Explained: What the 2s10s Spread Tells You
Normal, flat and inverted: how to read the 2s10s spread and why it is background, not a timer.
The 18.6-Year Real Estate Cycle
History since 1819, the five phases, where we place the market in 2026 and the limits of the idea.
Looking for numbers? The daily macro snapshot shows the Fed policy rate, the Treasury yield curve and the latest CPI and jobs data. All content is educational. Trading forex, CFDs, futures and crypto carries a high risk of losing money rapidly, and most retail accounts lose money. For education only; this is not advice.